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- Wpisy
Even if you win 55% of your bets, you will come out consistently ahead. This really is, on the other hand, easier said than done and involves more than a little bit reading and checking the injury reports. If Paul the octopus picked every winner in the recent soccer World Cup, picking winning football teams should be just as easy, right? Wrong. If it were that easy, plenty of people will be making money and the sports books could have to go out of business. If winning at football betting involves some knowledge, some strategy and, allow us to face it, a dash of luck, it really is because the bookmakers set very tight lines for the games. On the contrary, if you keep the following tips in your mind, it should boost your chances of winning.
Bet as early while you can. Many of the sports books post their lines as early since they can and some offshore books do this by Sunday afternoon for the following week’s games. If you locate a game and odds that you like make sure that there are actually no serious injury problems for the team that you pick. Bookmakers are not perfect and also can make mistakes in setting the line. Pounce early before heavy betting irons out the mistakes.
Focus on a number of teams. Because knowledge is important, if you pay attention to a few teams, you can build up a substantial amount of knowledge that you just can use in making your bets. Also limit your betting to just a few games every Sunday.
Avoid heavy favorites. The crowd loves favorites and homesite can rush to bet on them. However, they’re not good choices if you want to maintain your 55% average in winning bets. Even if you need to do win several, the payouts will be small. The very best strategy is to bet on short priced underdogs because, when you win, you generally make more than you’ve got bet.
Use totals judiciously. Totals set early within the week are generally determined by predictions of good weather. In late season games, rain or snow sometimes affects the scoring and also a heavy wind almost always keeps scoring down. In these conditions, you would do well by betting the Under
Use yards per play ranking. One method of evaluating teams is to look-at the offensive yards gained per play as well as the defensive yards given away per play. Teams that gain more than they lose end up winning more games. The statistics are readily available and you will calculate the main difference with a positive difference being a advantage. The rule of thumb to calculate a points spread from the yardage differential is the fact that every 0.15 yards will be worth one point. A differential of 0.60 yards between the two teams is worth four points. As with all betting tools, use your other data and information to confirm your findings.
Do not avoid teasers. There is a common perception that teasers are a rip-off and thus best avoided. Under certain circumstances, an NFL teaser which is a two-game parlay bet will make sense.
Pay attention to the injury reports. Read the injury reports carefully to determine what difference it’s going to make to the performance of your chosen team. Don’t just look-at key players because all the guys in the team have to perform at their peak.
